C(50,5,4) Min-Covering - a “4-hit safety net” dataset
What problem are we solving?
EuroJackpot main numbers are “5 out of 50”. The full space is huge, and random play is… well, random.
So here’s a spicy question:
Can we build a fixed set of tickets so that no matter what the winning 5 numbers are, at least one of our lines will match 4 of them?
No jackpot promise. No “I cracked the lottery” nonsense. Just a strong coverage guarantee.
The definition (plain language)
We want a set of 5-number lines such that:
- for every possible winning set W (5 numbers),
- there exists at least one line in our set that overlaps with W in 4 numbers.
In combinatorics terms, this is a covering design:
C(50, 5, 4)
What you get here
This page includes a CSV file containing 33,572 lines (5 numbers per line).
If someone plays the entire set, then for any winning 5-number draw:
- you’re guaranteed to have at least one 4-hit on the main numbers.
That’s the deal.
Before you get carried away
A “guarantee” can mess with your head if you don’t keep it grounded:
- It does not cover EuroNumbers.
- It does not guarantee profit.
- It can still be expensive to play at full size.
Treat it like a tool: useful, measurable, and very easy to misuse.
How to use the CSV
Each row is one line (ticket), usually as:
- st1, st2, st3, st4, st5
Good uses:
- compare this cover against your filters,
- build smaller “slices” that still keep decent coverage,
- study how coverage behaves on the 1..50 grid.
Why this belongs in the Lab Blog
Because once you have a cover set, you can start asking better questions:
- Which filters destroy coverage?
- Which filters keep coverage but cut cost?
- Can we build “cover-aware” reduced pools?
That’s where the fun starts.
Here are the real stats for this covering (911 draws so far)
=== Norms (random tickets baseline) ===
Cover size : 33572
Total combos: 2118760
Norm p(>=1 five-hit): 1.585%
Norm p(>=1 four-hit): 97.251%
Every draw had at least a 4 number hit
Norm mean #4-hit lines per draw: 3.565
=== Original (real cover vs real history) ===
5-hit draws: 1.317% lift vs norm: 0.831
4-hit draws: 98.683% lift vs norm: 1.015
mean #4-hit lines per draw: 3.622 lift vs norm: 1.016